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Hero MotoCorp

Hero MotoCorp

Equity Research·snapshot·5y·complete|
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1Company Overview
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Hero MotoCorp, established in 1984, is the largest two-wheeler manufacturer in the world , having retained market leadership in India for 24 consecutive years as of December 2024 . The company's revenue is anchored in motorcycle and scooter manufacturing and marketing, with motorcycles accounting for ~91% of total volume in the first nine months of fiscal 2026 ; a Parts, Accessories, and Merchandise segment generated record revenue of ₹5,828 crore in FY25 . Geographically, the domestic Indian market dominates at ~94% of FY2025 revenue , while an international footprint spanning 48 countries and 8 global manufacturing facilities underpins the platform for accelerating international expansion.

Product Mix by Volume (9M FY2026)
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Revenue Mix: Domestic vs International (FY2025)
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2Financial Performance
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Hero MotoCorp has delivered sustained financial improvement across revenue, margins, and returns over the past five years, with FY25 marking peak profitability on all key metrics. Total income grew approximately 33% from ₹31,380 crore in FY21 to ₹41,812 crore in FY25 , with FY25 revenue rising 8.3% on-year to Rs 40,923 crore driven by higher volumes and realisation . EBITDA expanded 46% over the same period to ₹5,868 crore , with operating margin reaching 14.5% in FY25 and further improving to ~14.9% in the first nine months of FY26 on cost reduction, operating leverage, and premiumisation. PAT reached a five-year high of ₹4,610 crore in FY25, up 16.2% year-on-year , with a PAT margin of 10.69% . Returns strengthened materially: ROCE improved to 30.02% from 28.43% and RoAE reached 24.40% versus 20.21% in FY21 . Medium-term revenue growth of 5–7% and operating margins of 14–15% are expected , underpinning a constructive earnings trajectory heading into FY26.

FY25 Total Income
₹41,812 Cr
+33% vs FY21
FY25 EBITDA
₹5,868 Cr
+46% vs FY21
FY25 Operating Margin
14.5%
FY25 PAT Margin
10.69%
FY25 ROCE
30.02%
+159 bps YoY
FY25 RoAE
24.40%
+152 bps YoY
Hero MotoCorp 5-year Total Income Trend (₹ crore) FY2021–FY2025
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Hero MotoCorp 5-year EBITDA Trend (₹ crore) FY2021–FY2025
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Operating Margin Expansion Trend (FY25 to 9M FY26)
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Hero MotoCorp 5-year Return on Average Equity (RoAE) (%) FY2021–FY2025
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Hero MotoCorp — Analytical ratios for the year ended March 31, 2025 and March 31, 2024 (Standalone)
RatioNumeratorDenominatorMarch 31, 2025March 31, 2024% Variance
Current ratioCurrent assetsCurrent liabilities1.871.5025.25%
Debt equity ratioTotal Debt (including lease liabilities)Shareholder's Equity0.010.017.62%
Debt service coverage ratioEarnings available for debt service = Net profit after taxes + Depreciation & Finance cost + other non-cash adjustmentsDebt service = Debt service including lease payments during the year117.30130.91-10.40%
Return on equityNet profit after taxesAverage shareholder's equity24.40%22.88%6.64%
Inventory turnover ratioCost of goods sold includes cost of raw material consumed, purchase of stock-in-trade and change in inventories of finished goods, stock-in-trade and work-in-progressAverage Inventory18.6617.675.58%
Trade receivables turnover ratioGross sale of products + Gross income from servicesAverage Trade receivables16.2817.34-6.11%
Trade payables turnover ratioPurchase of stock-in-trade + Purchases of raw material and components (less cash discount + other expenses)Average Trade Payables5.705.72-0.26%
Net capital turnover ratioRevenue from operationsAverage Working capital (Current assets - Current liabilities)8.8211.24-21.53%
Net profit ratioNet profit after taxesTotal income11.03%10.35%6.55%
Return on capital employed (ROCE)Earnings before interest and taxesCapital employed = Tangible net worth + Total debt + deferred tax liabilities30.02%28.43%5.58%
Return on investment (ROI)Income generated from investments carried at FVTPL and amortised costInvestments carried at FVTPL and amortised cost6.76%8.21%-17.72%

Source: Hero MotoCorp Annual Report FY2024-25, standalone financial ratios.

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3Investment Highlights
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Hero MotoCorp's investment thesis rests on three durable advantages: entrenched market leadership in India's mass two-wheeler segment, a balance sheet with negligible leverage, and accelerating optionality across EVs and international markets. The company has held the position of world's largest manufacturer of motorcycles and scooters for 25 consecutive years , closing FY2024-25 with a domestic ICE market share of 29.5% and a core RoCE of ~94.3%, up from ~79.0% in FY2024 .

Strength 1 — Segment Dominance. The Splendor+ franchise hit an all-time high market share of 82.6% in the 100cc Deluxe segment in Q4 FY25 , while the 125cc segment share expanded from 13% to comfortably above 20% , demonstrating broad premiumization traction. Three Hero brands ranked in the top 10 motorcycles sold in India for FY25, the highest among two-wheeler OEMs .

Strength 2 — Financial Fortress. Operating income grew to Rs. 40,923.4 crore in FY2025 against a Debt/OPBDIT ratio of just 0.1x and an interest coverage of 84.8x . Cash and investments exceeded Rs. 10,000 crore as of March 31, 2025 , providing ample firepower for EV investment and buybacks without straining the balance sheet.

Strength 3 — Multi-Axis Growth Optionality. Global business dispatches grew 43.05% year-on-year in FY25, lifting the company's global market share by 100 bps to 6.8% . The VIDA EV brand closed Q3 FY2026 with 11% market share and the PAM business set a record quarterly revenue of Rs. 1,673 crore .

Near-Term Catalysts. Volume momentum accelerated in Q3 FY2026 with 16.97 lakh units sold, 16% growth year-on-year , and Hero registered 44.7% YoY growth in February 2026, significantly outpacing the industry average . The GST 2.0 tailwind on sub-350cc motorcycles is sustaining rural demand recovery , while the May 2025 acquisition of a 34.1% stake in Euler Motors for Rs. 510 crore expands Hero's commercial EV footprint into 30 cities . European distribution partnerships signed in October 2025 with MotoGB and GD France open new export corridors . Full-year FY2026 results will provide the first complete read on whether operating leverage translates RoCE gains into sustained earnings growth.

Domestic ICE Market Share (FY25)
29.5%
FY25 Operating Income
₹40,923 Cr
+8.3% YoY
Core RoCE (FY25)
~94.3%
+1,530 bps YoY
Cash & Investments
>₹10,000 Cr
Q3 FY26 Volume Growth
16%
Debt/OPBDIT (FY25)
0.1x
Hero MotoCorp Segment Market Share Performance
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RoCE Improvement - Asset Utilization Gains
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4Risk Assessment
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Hero MotoCorp's risk profile is dominated by structural concentration and competitive displacement, with the EV transition amplifying both. The four highest-priority risks, ranked by probability and impact, are: (1) market share erosion — a sustained decline below 18–20% would trigger a sharp fall in operating margins ; (2) intense competition from Honda, Bajaj, and TVS, with the gap between Hero and Honda narrowing materially ; (3) geographic and segment concentration, with ~94% of motorcycle volume sourced domestically and ~88% of that volume in the price-sensitive entry-level segment, leaving earnings acutely exposed to rural demand cycles ; and (4) EV competitive displacement, where Hero holds only ~10% share of the electric two-wheeler market in H1 FY2026 against a rapidly expanding OEM field .

The downside scenario is defined by market share falling below the 18–20% threshold, raw material cost inflation, and rupee depreciation compressing margins simultaneously . Under this scenario, sizeable capital returns via dividends or buybacks could further deplete the cash surplus disproportionately to cash accrual .

Concentration risks are pronounced at every level. Geographically, the domestic market accounts for 94.3% of total revenue . By product, the 100-cc deluxe segment represents 62.6% of domestic ICE sales at 3.48 million of 5.55 million units in FY25 . Within the entry-level sub-segment, three brands — Splendor, HF Deluxe, and Passion — account for approximately 80% of volumes . Premium exposure offers little offset, with domestic market share of only ~1.5% in the premium motorcycle segment through December 2025 . The ICE-EV transition, regulatory complexity, and supply chain resilience round out the enterprise risk register, all of which management has flagged with formal mitigation measures .

Brand Concentration in Entry-Level Sub-Segment (FY2025)
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Key Enterprise-level Risks and their Mitigation Measures
RiskImpactMitigation Measures
Regulatory ComplexityConstantly evolving regulations require continuous adaption, leading to increased compliance costs; Frequent regulatory changes may cause operational disruptions and require process realignmentProactive regulatory monitoring and active engagement with industry peers and regulators; Strengthening internal compliance frameworks and agile adoption/adaptation of operational processes
Global UncertaintyTrade restrictions, sanctions, and geopolitical conflicts may disrupt supply chains and market access; Currency fluctuation and economic instability in key global markets could impact revenue and profitabilityCost and regulatory sensitivity analysis; Scenario-based planning and risk management to mitigate market volatility; Aligning business strategies with evolving regulatory and competitive market trends
Cybersecurity and Info-confidentialityLoss of sensitive data and increased risk of system intrusions; Compromised confidentiality leading to reputational and legal consequencesStrengthened cybersecurity infrastructure and real-time threat monitoring; Enhanced data encryption, access control, and regulatory compliance
Managing ICE–EV TransitionHigher-than-expected adoption of EV two-wheelers could impact market trends; Potential decline in sales of ICE two-wheelers if the transition continuesAdapt market strategies to align with evolving customer preferences; Investment in EV technology and product diversification
Supply Chain DisruptionHigher procurement costs lead to pressure on margins; Supplier instability due to financial stress, capacity constraints, or geopolitical factorsStrengthening supplier diversification and developing alternative sourcing strategies; Robust supplier due diligence; Support to financially stressed suppliers to ensure assured supplies and long-term partnerships
Business ContinuityDisruptions to critical operations due to unforeseen crises; Financial and reputational damage due to the inability to maintain service continuityComprehensive business continuity and disaster recovery planning; Ensuring redundancies across business functions and processes; Crisis preparedness training, drills, and post-incident reviews
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5Recent Developments
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Hero MotoCorp delivered its highest-ever quarterly revenue in Q3 FY2026, with broad-based volume and mix gains reinforcing a constructive operational outlook. Revenue reached a record Rs. 12,328 crore, up 21% YoY , on sales volumes of 16.97 lakh units — 16% above the 14.64 lakh units sold in Q3 FY2025 . Normalized PAT (before exceptional items) rose 20% to Rs. 1,439 crore; reported PAT of Rs. 1,349 crore, up 12%, reflects a one-time Rs. 119 crore charge from the four New Labour Codes effective November 21, 2025 . The ICE scooter segment grew 55% , and the PAM business posted record quarterly revenue of Rs. 1,673 crore while the VIDA EV brand held 11% market share with 41% export growth . The board declared an interim dividend of Rs. 110 per share and approved a Rs. 275 crore additional investment in Euler Motors to lift Hero's fully diluted stake from 34.1% to approximately 36% . CFO Vivek Anand attributed the result to operational excellence, product-mix optimisation, and favorable GST 2.0 tailwinds aiding rural demand revival . Geographic diversification advanced with Hero now present in 52 countries, including new entries in Italy, Spain, and France . The sustained volume momentum and improving product mix set the foundation for the earnings power examined in the following sections.

Q3 FY26 Revenue
Rs. 12,328 Cr
+21% YoY
Q3 FY26 Normalized PAT
Rs. 1,439 Cr
+20% YoY
Q3 FY26 Volume
16.97 lakh units
+16% YoY
Interim Dividend
Rs. 110/share
Standalone Revenue from Operations: YTD FY26 vs YTD FY25 and Full Year FY25
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Investment in Euler Motors Private Limited: Shareholding increase from 34.1% to ~36%
Item No.MetricValue
8Cost of acquisition / price at which the shares are acquiredUp to Rs. 275 crore (Rupees two hundred and seventy-five crore) in one or more tranches consisting of a mix of primary and secondary investment
9HMCL shareholding in Euler prior to proposed investment (fully diluted)34.1%
9HMCL shareholding in Euler post proposed investment (fully diluted)Approximately 36% (through primary investment in Series E Compulsory Convertible Preference Shares)
9Secondary purchase noteWithin the aforementioned amount, HMCL may acquire shares from existing shareholders of Euler by way of secondary sale
10Entity backgroundEuler Motors Private Limited is a private limited company incorporated in India on January 15, 2015; presence in 64 cities in India; engaged in designing, manufacturing, selling and servicing electric three- and four-wheeler vehicles
10Turnover (as of March 31, 2025)Rs. 191 crore
10Turnover (as of March 31, 2024)Rs. 172 crore
10Turnover (as of March 31, 2023)Rs. 49 crore
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